St. Louis Area boys high school Basketball Ratings 2/2/2020 corrected 9:30pm

I took a shot at predicting some very hotly contested games this past weekend and came up with a paltry 54% accuracy (see below the ratings table).  Of course, when you have very tightly rated teams, there is going to be some 50-50 type games, when flipping a coin might be as accurate as  looking at the ratings and my 54% accuracy is only slightly better than coin-flipping.

There were some exciting games with "upsets" last weekend, including Chicago Curie over Vashon, O'Fallon over Collinsville, and Edwardsville over Belleville West.

On the other hand, CBC secured the top spot in the large schools with an emphatic win over Chaminade and a convincing win over Grandview KC.  Trinity also had an impressive two point win against East St. Louis. De Smet also had a close win over Hazelwood Central.  Vashon, despite the loss to Curie is still the #1 team in the area, large or small school.

So, with a casual sort of Large and Small St. Louis schools (I am not always sure how the Post Dispatch calls one class 4 team large and the next class 4 team a small size school), here are my ratings for St. Louis area teams (let me know if I left someone off the list):

St. Louis Boys Basketball                                                    by SIZE  2019-2020 Rankings
LARGE SCHOOLS
Rank Team name Class
1 CBC 139.7
2 De Smet 138.9
3 O'Fallon Ill 137.5
4 Mehlville 136.8
5 Chaminade 136.4
6 Collinsville ILL 135.6
7 Francis Howell 133.7
8 East St. Louis IL 132.8
9 Belleville East ILL 129.0
10 Webster Groves 125.9
11 McCluer 125.8
12 Belleville West ILL 124.3
13 Hazelwood Central 121.3
14 Fort Zumwalt South 121.3
15 Edwardsville 120.3
16 Eureka 120.2
17 SLUH 119.2
18 Ladue 119.0
19 Granite City 117.5
20 McCluer North 116.1
21 Fort Zumwalt North 115.9
22 Kirkwood 115.5
23 Parkway Central 115.0
24 Lafayette 114.6
25 Hazelwood West 114.0
26 Vianney 113.9
27 Hazelwood East 113.5
28 Marquette 112.7
29 Troy Buchanon 111.3
30 Holt 110.8
31 Rockwood Summit 110.0
32 Lindbergh 109.5
33 Fort Zumwalt West 109.3
34 Francis Howell Central 109.0
35 Pattonville 108.8
36 Cahokia ILL 107.9
37 Liberty Wentzville 106.8
38 Oakville 106.2
39 Parkway South 106.1
40 Parkway West 105.6
41 Timberland 104.2
42 Ritenour 95.0
43 Fox 94.5
44 Francis Howell North 92.5
45 Seckman 91.6
46 Northwest Cedar Hill 76.9

STL SMALL SCHOOL RATINGS
Rank Team name Class
1 Vashon 140.8
2 St. Louis Christian Academy 136.4
3 Trinity 136.1
4 Cardinal Ritter 130.8
5 MICDS 122.2
6 Confluence 121.9
7 Westminster Christian Academy 121.4
8 Alton Ill 119.9
9 St. Dominic 119.7
10 Soldan 118.8
11 Christian (O'Fallon) 118.3
12 University City 118.0
13 Normandy Collaborative  117.4
14 Jennings 115.8
15 Lift for Life 115.3
16 Mater Dei ILL 114.6
17 Washington 114.1
18 St. Francis Borgia 113.6
19 Lutheran North 113.5
20 St. James 113.1
21 Priory 112.2
22 Hancock 112.1
23 St. Mary's 111.5
24 Hillsboro MO 111.4
25 St. Charles 110.8
26 Parkway North 109.8
27 Whitfield 108.7
28 Madison ILL 108.6
29 John Burroughs 108.3
30 Clayton 108.2
31 Sullivan MO 107.9
32 St. Charles West 107.8
33 Miller Career Academy 107.8
34 St. Pius X Festus 106.8
35 Duchesne 105.3
36 Alton Marquette ILL 104.7
37 Lutheran South 104.6
38 Windsor Imperial 104.4
39 DuBourg 104.1
40 Columbia ILL 103.9
41 Pacific 103.6
42 Warrenton 102.4
43 Highland ILL 101.4
44 Lutheran St. Charles 101.0
45 Festus 100.7
46 Althoff ILL 100.4
47 Fort Zumwalt East 100.0
48 Gateway Legacy Christian Academy 99.5
49 Hermann 98.3
50 Orchard Farm 98.1
51 Valle Catholic 97.3
52 McKinley 97.2
53 New Haven 97.0
54 North Technical 96.3
55 Riverview Gardens 95.7
56 Waterloo ILL 95.2
57 Winfield 94.9
58 Jefferson (Festus)  94.4
59 Brentwood 92.9
60 Carnahan 92.6
61 St. Clair 92.2
62 Gateway STEM 91.7
63 Herculaneum 91.4
64 St. Louis Christian Home School Blue Knights 91.4
65 St. Vincent 90.7
66 St. Louis Christian Home School Patriots 90.2
67 De Soto 90.0
68 KIPP St. Louis Sr. 89.8
69 Union 88.7
70 Owensville 88.6
71 Roosevelt 87.7
72 Civic Memorial ILL 87.5
73 Metro East Lutheran 87.1
74 Maplewood RH 86.8
75 South City Prep (St. Louis) 84.4
76 Affton 84.0
77 Crystal City 83.0
78 North County Christian 80.2
79 Cleveland NJROTC 79.6
80 Perryville 79.0
81 McCluer South Berkeley (STEAM Academy) 77.4
82 Grandview (Hillsboro) 76.5
83 St. Louis Patriots 76.4
84 Dupo 75.4
85 Bayless 75.4
86 Principia 74.3
87 Valley Park 73.9
88 Crossroads College Prep 73.1
89 Northwest Academy of Transportation and Law 72.1
90 St. Louis College Prep 71.7
91 Metro 69.2
92 Sumner 68.0
93 Gateway Science Academy 66.0
94 Wood River ILL 59.8
95 Medicine and Bioscience 54.6
96 Collegiate School of Med-Bio Science 53.3
97 Tower Grove Christian Academy 39.3
98 Barat St. Louis 12.3


Here were my picks last week on some tough games.   As a big Eureka supporter, I was actually glad I was wrong on the Eureka and Ladue game prediction.  If I predict spreads on two teams that are within three rating points, next time I will take the home team or flip a coin.  LOL

Large school schools - 1/29
 Right/Wrong
1. Collinsville (22-0) by 3 at O'Fallon on Friday. O'Fall by 14 X
2. Francis Howell (17-1) by 25 over Francis Howell Central (7-7)  on Thursday. FH by 24 C
3. CBC (12-6) 3 pt underdog to Chaminade (12-3) on Friday. CBC by 13 X
4. Chaminade (12-3) by 3 at CBC (12-6) on Friday.
5. De Smet (13-5) by 18 over Hazelwood Central on Friday. DeSmet by 5 C
6. Mehlville (13-3) by 31 over Marquette on Tuesday tbd
7. O'Fallon (17-4) 3 pt underdog to Collinsville at home on Friday. O'Fall by 14 X
8. McCluer (13-2) by 14 at St. Mary's (9-11) on Thursday. McCluer by 10 C
9. East St. Louis (14-7) by 3 at Belleville East on Friday. EStL by 4  C
10. Belleville East (13-7) 3 pt underdog at home to East St. Louis
Small school schools - 1/29
1. Vashon (13-4) over Chicago Curie on Saturday Curie by 6 X
2. Cardinal Ritter (11-5) by 1 over McCluer on Saturday Ritter by 16 C
3. Trinity (13-4) by 3 over East St. Louis, IL on Saturday. Trinity by 2 C
4. Lutheran North (15-4) by 4 at Jefferson City on Friday. JC by 5 X
5. Westminster (14-3) over John Burroughs by 15 on Friday. WMA by 13 C
6. MICDS (15-3) by 14 over Sullivan on Friday. MICDS by 26 C
7. Mater Dei (18-5) by 3 over Marion, Illinois on Saturday. MD by 15 C
8. O'Fallon Christian (15-4) by 22 North Tech on Friday. Christian by 42 C
9. Confluence (10-6) underdog to Granite City by 7 on Saturday. Confl by 18 X
10. University City (10-7) by 34 over Affton on Friday. U City by 37 C
Belleville West over Edwardsville by 4 on Friday Edwrdville by 13 X
Ladue over Eureka by 3 on Thursday Eureka by 3 X
Soldan over Helias by 2 on Friday Helias by 4 X
Webster Groves by 12 over Jennings on Friday WG by 17 C
Fort Zumwalt South by 6 over Borgia on Friday Borgia by 5 X
Father Tolton by 10 over St. Dominic on Friday. Tolton by 21 C
Lift for Life by 31 over Orchard Farms on Friday L4L by 27 C
Lift for Life by 5 over Jennings on Saturday Jenn by 11 X
Correct 13
Wrong 11
Percentage 54%

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Section predictions Missouri class one and two boys and girls basketball

The esteemed Earl Austin, Jr. has published some in-depth analysis of opening sectional games that start tonight over on Prep Hoops Missouri.  You have to have a subscription but you really should as Earl and his colleagues always have the inside dope on boys high school basketball.  I think they are launching a girls version this coming year.  At least, I hope so.  You can read his predictions at: https://www.prephoops.com/2020/03/preview-class-1-sectionals-predictions/ Prep Hoops Missouri Class two predictions are listed at: https://www.prephoops.com/2020/03/preview-class-2-sectionals-predictions/ Prep Hoops Missouri Class Two Earl really digs deep for information on the players and what they are doing.  I just model scores in an algorithm that provides me with a power rating.  It's the only ranking in the state for all 600+ boys and 535+ girls teams.  Earl gives you more of the scoop. What Earl doesn't have is the girls predictions so I wi...
Read more

Basketball and Coronavirus - What's next? What can you do?

Image
It's hard getting up in the morning.  Some days I don't remember what day of the week it is.  My grandkids are struggling.  They are stressed.  They can't do the things that they want to do.   I finally bought myself a golf driving net and set it up against the house in the backyard and I hit a couple hundred golf balls a day and work on form.  My wife and I are walking the neighborhood, sorting old digital photos, fixing stuff and knocking out Honey-Do Lists that I have avoided for years. I told my grandson, who was looking forward to the AAU 17U season that he might be lucky to play in July and August.  Very Lucky.  Schools are closed for the rest of the spring.  I feel real badly for all of those spring sports teams.  I feel bad about the Spring AAU schedule disappearing.  I doubt that there will be a June HS practice and game schedule.  I doubt everything our "President" says about opening up the country.  IF WE KEEP...
Read more

Musing over small town basketball - Where in the heck is Dora, Missouri? Or Mountain Lake, Minnesota?

Last year, I posted a blog about "Where in the heck is Zalma, Missouri?" and talked about how much I was learning about Missouri geography by rating all 530+ Missouri State High School Athletic Association boys basketball teams.  I would often pull up Google Maps to locate a small town school and found out that Zalma was in SE Missouri. For those that have not heard of Dora MO boys basketball, you were probably thinking I was talking about Dora the Explorer and not a premier class 1 basketball team that recently beat a top Oklahoma City's Heritage Hall class 4 team by 5.  They have one of the top shooters in the country, Isaac Haney, a 6'1" 2021 shooting guard who can put up 30 points faster than you can get popcorn at the concession stand.  They also have triplets, Austen, Mason and Bryson Luna, who make up an awesome, albeit small, cadre of superstars in a tiny town R-3 high school that has a one sentence Wikipedia description.  But don't take these guys ...
Read more