St. Louis Area Boys Basketball Pre-Season Power Ratings 10/19/2019

After taking most of the fall to look at and analyze the boys basketball high school returnees, I am ramping up to start rating teams when the winter schedule gets underway.  I have been rating teams using a Sagarin type algorithm for the past two years and feel very comfortable with my comparative ratings which predicts the score differential based on each teams power rating.

With a look at last year's final ratings and adding a litte SWAG (surely wild ass guess) to my power ratings, here's how I see the St. Louis Area teams power ratings for the start of the 2019-2020 season.

I am posting teams in rank order in this blog post.  I will break out the teams by conference in the next blog post.  The table has the team, conference, last year's rating and my prediction of this year's rating.

My apologies if I missed a team....


Missouri schools 2019-2020 Rankings
2019-2020
2018-2019 Predicted
Rank Team name Conference Rating Rating
1 Vashon Public High 139 142
2 Trinity AAA Division II 128 132
3 Francis Howell Gateway South 132 132
4 De Smet Catholic Metro 121 131
5 Mehlville Green 113 131
6 Cardinal Ritter AAA Division I 123 130
7 Chaminade Catholic Metro 124 129
8 Hazelwood Central Yellow 117 129
9 CBC Catholic Metro 127 127
10 Father Tolton Catholic AAA Division I 116 122
11 McCluer Red 116 122
12 Jennings Yellow 115 122
13 Ladue Red 115 121
14 Soldan Public High 117 119
15 McCluer North Red 126 118
16 Webster Groves Yellow 124 118
17 Hillsboro MO Jefferson County 109 116
18 St. Mary's AAA Division I 105 116
19 University City Blue 108 116
20 Fort Zumwalt South Gateway Central 121 116
21 Eureka Red 117 116
22 Christian (O'Fallon) AAA Division II 108 115
23 Hazelwood East Green 109 115
24 Hazelwood West Green 105 115
25 MICDS Metro League 107 115
26 Parkway Central Red 117 115
27 Pattonville Red 110 115
28 Parkway South Yellow 107 115
29 Kirkwood Red 106 114
30 Whitfield Independent 110 114
31 Westminster Christian Academy Metro League 108 113
32 Lafayette Yellow 112 113
33 Priory Metro League 107 112
34 SLUH Catholic Metro 104 111
35 St. Francis Borgia AAA Division I 109 110
36 Normandy Collaborative  Blue 106 110
37 Lutheran North Metro League 104 110
38 Marquette Yellow 118 110
39 Vianney Catholic Metro 106 109
40 Fort Zumwalt West Gateway South 107 109
41 Troy Buchanon Gateway South 110 108
42 Ritenour Yellow 93 108
43 Holt Gateway Central 106 107
44 Fort Zumwalt North Gateway Central 104 107
45 St. James Four Rivers 105 106
46 Francis Howell Central Gateway South 108 106
47 Clayton Blue 103 105
48 Union Four Rivers 103 105
49 Timberland Gateway South 101 105
50 Riverview Gardens Green 102 105
51 John Burroughs Metro League 104 105
52 Gateway STEM Public High 108 105
53 St. Dominic AAA Division I 108 104
54 Sullivan MO Four Rivers 103 104
55 Lutheran South Metro League 106 104
56 Pacific Four Rivers 93 103
57 Parkway North Blue 97 102
58 Rockwood Summit Green 97 102
59 Lindbergh Red 104 102
60 St. Charles West Gateway North 106 102
61 Maplewood RH South Central AA 95 101
62 Washington Gateway Central 94 100
63 Oakville Green 94 100
64 Confluence Independent 101 100
65 Miller Career Academy Public High 97 100
66 Hancock South Central AA 113 99
67 Liberty Wentzville Gateway Central 106 99
68 McCluer South Berkeley Green 90 99
69 Seckman Blue 91 98
70 Parkway West Red 93 98
71 DuBourg AAA Division II 98 97
72 Fox Blue 88 97
73 Fort Zumwalt East Gateway Central 103 97
74 Francis Howell North Gateway South 93 97
75 Duchesne AAA Division II 99 96
76 Affton Blue 90 96
77 St. Charles Gateway North 101 96
78 Lift for Life Independent 98 95
79 Northwest Cedar Hill Blue 79 93
80 Festus Jefferson County 98 93
81 Carnahan Public High 85 93
82 Hermann Four Rivers 96 92
83 Roosevelt Public High 90 92
84 St. Pius X Festus Jefferson County 98 92
85 Warrenton Gateway North 88 90
86 De Soto Jefferson County 87 90
87 Brentwood South Central AA 97 90
88 Valley Park South Central AA 91 90
89 St. Vincent Jefferson County 90 90
90 Lutheran St. Charles AAA Division II 80 89
91 Windsor Imperial Jefferson County 92 89
92 St. Clair Four Rivers 90 88
93 Winfield Gateway North 82 88
94 Herculaneum Jefferson County 67 88
95 Principia Metro League 72 86
96 Perryville Jefferson County 98 85
97 Orchard Farm Gateway North 88 85
98 Grandview (Hillsboro) Jefferson County 69 85
99 Jefferson (Festus)  Jefferson County 94 85
100 Northwest Academy of Transportation and Law Public High Small 73 82
101 Valle Catholic Independent 80 80
102 North Technical Independent 91 77
103 Owensville Four Rivers 71 76
104 New Haven Four Rivers 71 75
105 Metro Public High Small 72 75
106 St. Louis College Prep Independent 95 72
107 Sumner Public High Small 55 71
108 McKinley Public High Small 66 66
109 Crystal City Jefferson County 64 64
110 Bayless South Central AA 69 63
111 Gateway Science Academy Independent 62 55
112 Cleveland NJROTC Public High Small 66 54
113 Crossroads College Prep South Central AA 49 49
114 Collegiate School of Med-Bio Science Public High Small 41 41

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